Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE
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Produce
Roma tomatoes dropped another 15% to $9.48/cs, totaling a 33% decline in just two weeks. Lettuce and avocados remain stable and near seasonal lows. Quality is strong across the board during ongoing crop transitions.
Outlook: Stable produce pricing creates a prime opportunity for optimization. Leverage this to forecast more accurately and reduce variability in cost reporting.
Grain
Spring wheat remains the focal point of the grain markets due to international crop challenges. U.S. winter wheat conditions improved, putting downward pressure on domestic futures.
Outlook: Grain prices may soften slightly in the short term. Procurement teams should review exposure and adjust pricing models based on weather and export data.
Dairy
Butter prices increased $0.13/lb to $2.49/lb, while cheese remained flat amid strong promotions. Nonfat dry milk ticked up to $1.29/lb as milk supply supported high production schedules.
Outlook: Rising butter and milk costs may pressure margins. Use automated alerts to flag pricing shifts early and adjust recipes or suppliers when necessary.
Beef
Beef cutouts remained strong, with striploins climbing to $11.84/lb and shortloins up to $10.14/lb, despite softness in the rib segment. Cattle futures increased 3.5%, supporting price stability across most categories.
Outlook: Beef prices are likely to remain elevated. Use InsideTrack’s reporting tools to assess cost trends and identify invoice discrepancies across your supply chain.
Pork
The pork cutout rose 3% to $108.12/cwt, led by significant gains in ribs, bellies, and tenderloins. Bellies climbed to $1.98/lb, and trim pricing also moved higher. Export volume slipped slightly, but domestic demand remains strong.
Outlook: Pork will stay firm through early July. Track performance by cut to flag overages and refine purchasing strategies accordingly.
Seafood
Snow crab prices dipped 2.9% m/m as import volumes normalized. The market appears to be stabilizing following early-season shortages and volatility.
Outlook: Crab pricing is expected to remain under control through summer. Track contract adherence and evaluate category-level performance across protein segments.
Poultry
Chicken markets saw moderate increases, with boneless breasts up to $2.77/lb and tenderloins rising $0.06 to $2.50/lb. Boneless thigh meat continued its upward trend, now up 34% year-over-year. Harvest volume increased 2.5% w/w, and ad activity rose 12% nationally.
Outlook: Expect sustained firmness in poultry pricing. Procurement teams should monitor SKU-level cost movements to maintain contract compliance and optimize purchasing decisions.
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Expert insights
curated weekly

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